Tuesday’s top 3 bets, including Red Sox, Rays, White Sox and Mariners (September 6)

We have another full slate of baseball Tuesday, with matches Spread Throughout the evening and a number of major games with serious post-season effects.

Our analysts are participating in three matches of today’s roster: red socks against. raysAnd the reds against. Cubs And the white socks against. sailors. we’ve got running linethe first five and money line Underdog of the recommendation.

Here are our top three bets from tonight’s Major League Baseball roster.

MLB Odds and Choices

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Red Sox vs. Rice
6:40 PM ET
Reds vs Cubs
7:40 PM ET
White Sox vs Mariners
9:40 PM ET

Red Sox vs. Rice

pick or pick
Rays -1.5 (+135)
the book
BetMGM
jugs
Rich Hill vs. Drew Rasmussen
the first show
6:40 PM ET

Jules Posner: Drew Rasmussen has been one of the best home shooters this season. That became even more apparent when he played a perfect game in the ninth inning during his start on August 14 at home against Baltimore. Orioles.

While expecting that kind of length outside of Rasmussen is not wise, it is wise to support someone with 1.97 ERA and 2.58 FIP At home this season.

The Red Sox offense has been above average against RHP on the road this season, but the main reason to support Rays’ running streak is that Red Sox writer Rich Hill doesn’t work deep into games often and her Red Sox Bullpen has been a very poor unit. at recent days.

Although Hill is touting in his strongest split, Rays had one of the best home offenses against the LHP over the past month. Pair this with a shaky Bullpen Sox and it looks like the best value at night is the Rays running line.

While in some books the movement of the line has shifted from the +120 range to an apparent consensus of +135, this could be a good reward for some risk. Tracing the line’s movement overnight, the rays were +140 at kings, but moved to +135 by morning. So there seems to be conflicting signals about the operating line.

However, the Rays seem to have a huge advantage in Tuesday night’s game. Since their money line is over -150, take the run line while it’s on the nice extra money position.


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Reds vs Cubs

pick or pick
Cubs F5 (-160)
the book
winbet
jugs
Justin Dunn vs. Wade Miley
the first show
7:40 PM ET

Sean Zerrillo: Justin Dunn (4.63 ERA, 6.46 xERA, 5.10 xFIP) has struggled badly at the MLB level, scoring a career 5.87 xFIP through 30 starts over four seasons between Seattle and Cincinnati.

Drop Systems isn’t particularly fond of the 26-year-old, as she ties him to dropping the FIP for the remainder of the season between 5.2 and 5.83.

Conversely, Wade Miley has excelled through four starts this season (3.68 xERA, 4.51 xFIP, 4.82 SIERA) and holds a much more optimistic FIP forecast (range 4.01-4.49).

Both teams are in the superior offensive division for this match. Chicago ranks 17th against the right and 22nd against the left. Similarly, Cincinnati ranks 21 against the leftists and 26 against the right.

Despite the big starting advantage in the promotion, I only play the Cubs on the money line in the first 5 rounds (F5), which I expected at -194 (66% implicit) which you can bet up to -177 (64% implicit) at the edge of 2 % compared to my number.

Since the trade deadline – when several major painkillers were dealt – Chicago is ranked 29th in the Bullpen xFIP, while Cincinnati is 11th. Six weeks ago I would have given the Cubs a huge advantage in this match. Now, I put these bulls on level terms, with a slight advantage to the reds, if any.


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White Sox vs Mariners

pick or pick
White Sox +135
the book
bet365
jugs
Johnny Koito vs. Logan Gilbert
the first show
9:40 PM ET

DJ James: The Chicago White Sox find themselves in a strong position to crown the First Division in the final phase of the 2022 regular season, considering where they stood until a week ago. They head to Seattle on a West Coast cruise against Logan Gilbert and the Mariners.

The White Sox will start Johnny Koito, who has been a miracle worker, given the injuries the Sox has had all season. Cueto contains 2.93 ERA and 3.84 xERA. Yes, he’s lucky but that basically confirms his ability to get out of trouble.

Meanwhile, Gilbert has been a staple of the Seattle course and will be for years to come, with a 3.35 ERA and 4.09 xERA. Koito gets a slight advantage over Gilbert because he limits difficult contact more often and can go deeper into the ball game.

This prevents Central Chicago from entering the game. Essentially, Cueto will hand the ball to the heart of the Sox Bullpen (Liam Hendricks, Kendall Grafman Jake Dickman, and now Aaron Bomer, who returned from the injured list on Monday).

Seattle advertises a bullpen xFIP of 3.67, but there isn’t much difference when you get into the back end in this one.

Finally, both teams have 104 WRC+ From the right-handers in the last month, so the formations are negligible. With the White Sox hit well, finally, take them as underdogs to -110.


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